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Bubble Score Daily

Strategy Guard Lab

A practical bridge between daily Bubble Score data and a user’s own strategy: one clear Buy & Hold + Bubble Guard example, current guard states for 5 assets, and downloadable signal files.

Strong Guard only One clear rule. Easy to recreate.

This lab uses the Strong Bubble Guard example only, so users can understand the mechanism and then test their own strategy with the exported data.

Buy & Hold + Strong Bubble Guard

This is one simple historical example: a basic Hold approach with the Strong Bubble Guard risk layer added on top. It shows how the 4 daily fields can change exposure during fragile regimes. The bigger point: subscribers can download the same daily fields and test their own strategy rules across the 5 tracked assets.

1Bubble ScoreOverheating pressureHow hot the market structure looks.
2PhaseMarket stageAcceleration, build-up, late bubble, etc.
3ConfidenceSignal qualityHow strongly the reading should be trusted.
4Crash Horizon 14dShort-term clusteringWhether near-term pressure is clustering.
Example ruleStrong Bubble GuardProtective overlay used in this Buy & Hold example.

How Strong Guard works

The example reduces exposure when Bubble Score Daily detects fragile conditions

Strong Guard combines Bubble Score, phase, confidence, Crash Horizon 14d and a simple price confirmation. It is intentionally protective, because the goal of this example is to show how Bubble Score can act as a risk layer on top of a strategy.

1Risk pointsScore ≥45, score ≥60, build-up/late phase, medium/high confidence, CH14 ≥5%, CH14 ≥10% add pressure points.
2Exposure statesNormal = 100%, Watch = 100%, Cautious = 75%, Defensive = 50%, Risk-off = 0% after weakness confirmation.
3Price confirmationRisk-off activates only after weakness confirms: close below SMA20 or a 5% drawdown from the 60-day high.
4Recreate itDownload the CSV fields and test the same idea — or your own thresholds — on your strategy.
Historical growthannualized historical growth
Worst drawdownsmaller bad periods are better
Sharpe-like qualityrisk-adjusted score
Guard activedays with reduced risk

What this example shows

Historical growth path

White = simple Hold. Blue = Hold with Strong Bubble Guard risk layer.

Drawdown comparison

The practical question: did Strong Guard reduce the depth of bad periods?

When Strong Guard changed exposure

A simplified timeline of exposure states. Blue means normal exposure; warmer colors mean the guard reduced risk.

Normal Cautious Defensive Risk-off
Show decision history
Sharpe-like
Max drawdown
Adjustments / year
Time invested

Decision history

Days when Strong Bubble Guard changed or restricted the base Hold behavior.

DateGuard regimeBubble ScorePhaseConfidenceCH14TriggerAction

Current dashboard layer

Current Bubble Score Guard

From 2026-01-01 onward, this view turns the current Bubble Score fields into a simple current guard state for each asset. This is the “what does the data mean today?” layer: Normal, Watch, Caution, Defensive, or Risk-off. It is not a strategy comparison — it is the current overlay data users can apply to their own process.

Latest data
Hottest asset nowhighest Bubble Score
Most defensive guardhighest guard level
Short-term clusteringhighest CH14
Assets in caution+Caution / Defensive / Risk-off

Latest 5-asset Current Guard

This is the current subscriber-facing layer: fast, readable, and directly connected to the latest Bubble Score data.

AssetScoreZonePhaseConfidenceConsensusCH14GuardPosture

Current guard history

Use this after every daily update to publish the newest guard states on Whop or export them for subscribers.

DateAssetScore1d7dPhaseConfidenceConsensusCH14GuardReason

Use it with your own strategy

Download the guard layer and test your own rules

The historical example uses Buy & Hold because it is the simplest way to show the idea. The real product value is that subscribers can take the daily Bubble Score fields — score, phase, confidence, consensus, crash horizon and guard state — and test them against their own strategy, timeframe and risk rules.

Practical use cases

Trend followers

Use Caution/Defensive states to avoid aggressive late additions when a trend becomes overheated.

Swing traders

Use elevated guard states as a warning that chasing the move may require extra confirmation.

Long-term investors

Use High/Risk-off readings as rebalancing awareness rather than a mechanical exit rule.

Data users

Export the CSV and test how score, phase, confidence and crash horizon behave with your own rules.

Use Bubble Score Daily as a risk layer for your own strategy. One simple Buy & Hold example shows the mechanism. The exported daily data lets users test their own rules.
Informational use only.